SAGETRADING · 智弈量化

We bring math, science, and AI
to the markets.

SageTrading is a quantitative hedge fund. We treat markets as a scientific problem — every strategy begins as a hypothesis, survives rigorous testing, and is executed by systems, not sentiment.

MATHEMATICSSTATISTICSMACHINE LEARNINGARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
ABOUT US

Trading as a research discipline

SageTrading is a quantitative hedge fund built on a simple conviction: markets are among the most complex systems humans have ever created, and understanding them demands the same rigor we bring to the hardest problems in science.

We treat trading as a research discipline. Every strategy we deploy begins as a hypothesis, is tested against evidence, and survives only if the data holds up. We pair deep quantitative modeling with modern machine learning and artificial intelligence to find signal in noise, to adapt as markets evolve, and to make decisions at a speed and scale no human could match alone.

We are not chasing intuition or headlines. We are building durable, principled systems grounded in mathematics, statistics, and the scientific method.
OUR APPROACH

Mathematics, science, and AI —
applied with discipline

01

Mathematics

Probability, statistics, and optimization are our first language. Position sizing, risk, and expectancy are derived — never guessed.

02

The scientific method

Every strategy is a falsifiable hypothesis. We test out-of-sample, hunt for our own errors, and retire ideas the moment the evidence turns.

03

Machine learning & AI

Modern models — from classical learners to large language models — extend our research bandwidth and adapt as market regimes evolve.

04

Engineering

Research only matters if it executes. Deterministic risk controls, automated monitoring, and auditable systems carry every idea to market.

Hypothesis→Model→Validate→Deploy→Monitor→Falsify & refine
RESEARCH · FLAGSHIP SYSTEM

Seventeen years of evidence,
one minute at a time

Our flagship futures system — a combined intraday and overnight engine on the CME E-mini Nasdaq-100 — is presented in two studies: the complete seventeen-year record, evaluated against every one-minute bar since April 2009, and a daily close-up of the most recent five and a half years. Not a sample. Not a favorable window.

Every figure is net of exchange and clearing fees and realized slippage, computed with lookahead-free indicators on tick-synchronized data.

Case 1 · Full history

APR 20, 2009 – AUG 18, 2026 · 17.3 YEARS

The entire continuous record — spanning the post-crisis recovery, the 2018 and 2022 drawdowns, and the AI-era bull market — evaluated on every one-minute bar with the full risk stack in force.

17.3 YEARS1,688,326 ONE-MINUTE BARS4,465 TRADING DAYS2,208 CLOSED TRADES
+269,054%
Net return
$100k → $269M
3.67
Sharpe ratio
vs 2.25 for QQQ
5.09
Sortino ratio
vs 3.15 for QQQ
−43.45%
Max drawdown
vs −37.7% for QQQ
58.2%
Win rate
2,208 closed trades
1.63
Profit factor
gross profit ÷ gross loss

Growth of $100,000, 2009 – 2026

YEAR-END VALUES · LOG SCALE · CALENDAR-YEAR RETURNS
Year-end values chained from calendar-year returns; the intra-year path is not shown at this resolution (maximum drawdown is reported in the tiles above). Bars: combined system; dots: QQQ. Compounding: position size scales with equity at 5× futures margin. Fixed 1 contract: one NQ contract per signal throughout. QQQ / SPY: unlevered buy-and-hold. 2026 is year-to-date through August 18.
2022

Positive through a bear market

+21.2% in 2022 while the Nasdaq-100 fell 33% and the S&P 500 fell 20%. The system was also up 54.8% in 2018 — a year both indices closed lower.

15 / 18

Calendar years profitable

Fifteen of eighteen calendar years finished positive; the three down years were −11.7%, −14.1% and −5.5%. The overnight engine alone was profitable in 17 of 18 years, with a win rate between 57% and 84% in every single year.

−6.65%

Risk on a standardized basis

With one contract per signal, the deepest drawdown in seventeen years was −6.65%, against −35% to −40% for every buy-and-hold benchmark. Compounding at 5× leverage scales returns and drawdowns alike: +269,054% with a −43.45% maximum drawdown.

Tick-synchronized 1-minute data Lookahead-free indicators Realistic CME fees, clearing & slippage Intraday + overnight, zero margin overlap Volatility-gated regime filter Cross-market confirmation: ES · YM · RTY

Hypothetical performance. Results are derived from historical simulations (VectorBT Pro) of a systematic strategy on CME E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures — the full-history study (April 20, 2009 – August 18, 2026) and a separate daily-curve run (January 4, 2021 – August 17, 2026) — and do not represent live trading or any actual account. Simulated results have inherent limitations: they are prepared with the benefit of hindsight, may not reflect all market frictions, and do not reflect the impact of material economic and market factors on real-time decision-making. Past or simulated performance is not indicative of future results. Nothing on this page is an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any security or interest in any fund.

OUR PHILOSOPHY

The discipline of rigorous science

At SageTrading, we revere the culture of academia and the discipline of rigorous science. We ask hard questions, we challenge our own assumptions, and we let results — not opinions — settle the debate. We believe the best ideas can come from anyone, and that the pursuit of truth is a collaborative one.

I

Curiosity over certainty

Hard questions are the starting point of every strategy. We would rather sit with an open problem than settle for a comfortable answer.

II

Evidence over ego

We challenge our own assumptions and let results — not opinions — settle the debate. A hypothesis survives only if the data holds up.

III

Elegance over expedience

We prize the elegant solution over the expedient one — systems built to be understood, maintained, and trusted.

Reproducibility Intellectual honesty A relentless commitment to getting it right

The same standards that govern great research govern how we build.

WHO WE ARE

Founded at the intersection of
math, science, and AI

SageTrading was founded by Yuan Fang, Liang Tang, and Eric Li — a team united by a shared belief that the frontier of trading lies at the intersection of mathematics, science, and artificial intelligence.

Together, they set out to build a firm where world-class researchers and engineers could do their best work: solving genuinely hard problems, held to the highest standards, and free to follow the science wherever it leads.

YF

Yuan Fang

CO-FOUNDER
LT

Liang Tang

CO-FOUNDER
EL

Eric Li

CO-FOUNDER
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We hire for one thing: the ability to find truth in data. Hover over a role to see the full description.

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CONTACT

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Questions about our research, strategies, or working with us — send a note and we'll get back to you.

SageTrading Headquarters

LOCATION
San Jose, CA, USA
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